China Financial Daily

The industry forecasts Beijing housing prices will rise 10-20%
Chen Yunfeng: house source suburbanization, housing prices doubled, mortgage audit also strict, and buyer’s life more difficult

Recent statistics show that Beijing, Beijing, within the Fourth Ring Road, the average price for residential property prices have reached more than 30,000 yuan per square meter, the average price per square meter tetracyclic to pentacyclic to reach 20,000 to 30,000 yuan. Rings to the ring road and more than 12,000 yuan per square meter average price, even if the average price has reached beyond the Sixth Ring Road million mark in the history of the stage of high prices, the excessive growth of housing prices is also the policy of has recently been introduced. Beijing property market in the future lead? 8 held in “Spring 2010, Beijing real estate forecast” on the industry have predicted that rising property market in Beijing in 2010 will be the main tone, the rate of increase should be 10% to 20%.

Four Seasons Real Estate Institute of Policy according to market study suggests that, in 2010 the Beijing property market will be stable Fa Zhan, real estate Jiage will Chuxian structural adjustment and differentiation, Zhu Zhai Town of, suburbanization Fazhanqushi obvious, Suizhao South 290 000 000 000 Zijin’s Zhu Ruhe Tongzhou new plan was released in 2010 in Beijing Fangshan, Tongzhou, Daxing and will become the new highlights section.

“Real estate prices and the pattern of this year compared with last year, there have been fundamental changes, availability of suburbanization, and housing prices doubled, buy a house more difficult, and mortgage audit also strictly, so that, buy a house life harder for the people. “alliance Secretary-General of China’s real estate manager told Chen Yunfeng,” Economic Information Daily “reporters, when buy a house is increasingly becoming an investment, house prices will become very difficult to control, especially in Beijing This scarcity of resources cities.

“Beijing housing prices would not rise up 10%. The policy and funding support, the further taking into account the enthusiasm of people to buy a house, I expect the Beijing housing prices rose more than 20% sure.” Yun-Feng Chen said, my personal view is that housing prices in Beijing will not be lower than Hong Kong.

“I think that the future price certainly is a continuous rise Di Qu Shi, but each year, as Zhengfucaiqu’s policy Bu Yiyangfangjia Hui Yousuobodong it. As long as more people want to squeeze in Beijing, then Jiu certainly will lead to Beijing’s housing prices continue to soar even higher. “prominent real estate, Ren Zhiqiang, chairman of Beijing Huayuan Real Estate Group, presented at the meeting a similar judgments.

Ren Zhiqiang that from the perspective of supply and demand, the growth of commercial housing at present insufficient to meet demand can be expected. Nationally, China last year increased by 11 million families, but last year provided only 440 million units of housing, only to meet the needs of nearly half. Beijing is also true.

Ren Zhiqiang said that so far there is no central government to introduce policies that make housing prices go down, but made not to allow housing prices. However, 18 million mu of arable land red line and the supply of land planned way, so that the supply of commercial housing is far from meeting the needs can now be predicted.

“This year’s Beijing housing prices will inevitably rise, but compared to the skyrocketing for 2009, will tend to reason. But Beijing house prices fall this year, the possibility of stagflation or not.” Investment Co., Ltd. Beijing and Hong Zhang, director of marketing case Beijing housing prices to predict the future trend.

Zhang gives two reasons: on the one hand, the current rigid demand, particularly the rigidity of first-tier cities is very strong demand, and China is in the process of a high-speed city among the 10 to 20 years Wei Lai Zhi within China’s urbanization process will catch up with the level of moderately developed countries, at this stage is the stage of growth of real estate demand.

On the other hand, the current inflation expectations are also evident. Inflation expectations, and as investment in fixed assets, real estate, increasing the value of the function with the easy to enlarge.

It is noteworthy that the first quarter of this year sales data on house prices also constitute a strong support. Ministry of Housing and Urban Policy Research Center, deputy director of the Renqin Hong said at the meeting, usually every year 1,2 months is relatively short season of the real estate market, but this year the country 1 to 2 term sales growth rate reached 38.2% It is a “not short off-season.”

Qin Hong available data, in addition to the sale of commodity housing in Shanghai area is negative growth, Jiangsu is a digit growth outside the eastern region of all are in double-digit sales growth over. And Shandong, Liaoning, Hainan, these provinces term sales growth rate is more than the three-digit, more than 100%.